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The US-Saudi nuclear deal: a reaction to the Iran War
The United States and Saudi Arabia announced this week they have signed a Bilateral Safeguards Agreement that will allow the Gulf kingdom to develop a civilian nuclear program. The agreement will now be sent to the US Congress for review. Although some lawmakers from both Republican and Democrat parties are expected to oppose the deal, President Trump's Republican Party controls both chambers of Congress, making it unlikely that opponents will have enough votes to block it. T
Jul 263 min read


Cuba's biggest economic reforms since the revolution of 1959
This week, the Cuban government will approve the largest package of economic reforms since the 1959 Revolution: • Retired Raúl Castro, 94 years old, who still exercises political control over President Miguel Díaz-Canel, gave his approval last week to a package of 175 measures aimed at reforming the Cuban economy, which is 80% dependent on state-owned enterprises. • Since 2021, certain private businesses have been allowed to exist, but they have been limited to a maximum of 1
Jun 241 min read


Brexit after 10 years: less growth, more non EU migration and the far-right as the biggest party in the UK
A trend has been confirmed since many years now: a majority of Britons regret Bexit. This despite the growing support for the extreme-right party (Reform UK). •Fifty-two percent of Britons think the UK should rejoin the EU, according to an Ipsos survey of 1,137 British adults conducted between May 14 and May 20. That’s the inverse of the mood in June 2016 when a comparable share of the electorate backed Brexit. •Almost half of Britons support a repeat of that referendum, with
Jun 242 min read


Ukraine is having the upper hand in the war against Russia
For the first time since 2023, Ukraine appears to have gained a sustained tactical advantage in the war over the past several months. This despite the fact that the United States under President Trump has stopped direct military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine. Instead, European assistance has increased and filled much of the gap, in line with what Trump demanded. A key factor in Ukraine’s recent battlefield performance has been its growing advantage in drone warfare. Ukraini
Jun 152 min read


Why it is wrong to state that the world will severely suffer if the Strait of Hormuz continues to be closed?
Before the war, around 25% of the world's traded oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz, meaning that approximately 20 million barrels of oil per day were cut off from international markets once the last vessels carrying these supplies reached their destinations. However, there are several reasons why it is wrong to be overly alarmist about Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz following the U.S. and Israeli attacks, or to claim that key sectors of the global economy are ab
Jun 23 min read


Trump's bet to breach Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
The Iran War is almost impossible to solve: 1) The US and Israel will never allow Iran to keep its nuclear enrichment program that started a couple of years ago. 2) Because Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz, the world's economy is suffering and there is a serious risk that oil shortages will hit most countries in the following weeks. 3) The US cannot seize the Strait of Hormuz because Iran can always deploy small units to bomb vessels passing its coast. 4) The US has enforced
May 53 min read


Trump and the dispute of the Falkland Islands between Argentina and the UK
Many European explorers sighted the Falkland Islands in the 16th and 17th centuries, but English Captain John Strong was the first to explore the totality of the archipelago by sailing between the two principal islands in 1690. He called the passage "Falkland Channel" after Anthony Cary, 5th Viscount Falkland, who, as Commissioner of the Admiralty, had financed the expedition and later became First Lord of the Admiralty. However, it was the French explorer Louis Antoine de Bo
Apr 286 min read


The new strategies of the US and Iran to win de war
Hello! This is my briefing regarding the current situation regarding US stategy for the Iran War! Iran’s Foreign Ministry said the country’s right to enrich uranium was “indisputable” although the level of enrichment is “negotiable”, as it said that exchanges with the US had continued following failed negotiations over the weekend. Iran still has control of the Strait of Hormuz, and very few ships have been authorised by the Iranians to cross it. However, it is wrong to assum
Apr 182 min read


The seven international actors that lost with Orbán's electoral defeat
1) Russia: Orbán managed to convince the EU to be allowed to continue the import oil gas from Russia. Hungary has systematically blocked aid packages to Ukraine, Orbán describes Zelensky as a dangerous warmonger, his government has leaked official documents from EU meetings to Russia, and has accused Kyiv of being a repressive state against the Hungarian minority living in west Ukraine. 2) China: While the EU has worked to limit Chinese influence, Hungary under Orbán became t
Apr 143 min read


Pakistan and the Kurds: key actors for the ceasefire in the Iran War
The full content the ceasefire that should last at least two weeks has not been disclosed, with each side claiming victory and giving contradictory statements. Officially, US/Israel and Iran have agreed to stop attacks on each other and re-open the Strait of Hormuz to the general navigation. The other contentious points such as Iran’s nuclear program, its financing of diverse militias in the region, its diplomatic recognition of Israel, its military capabilities, internationa
Apr 82 min read


Important elements about the War against Iran
Here are several things about the war against Iran: 1. Based on recent statements, NATO does not seem willing to send military assistance to the United States to keep the Strait of Hormuz open, which continues to be targeted by Iranian bombardments against merchant ships not heading to China. 2. Iran has slightly increased its oil exports since the war began two weeks ago. 3. Iran’s new government shows no signs of backing down, unlike Venezuela’s government did, so the war d
Mar 162 min read


Why have Hamas and the Houthis not officially entered the Iran War yet?
Although an open war has broken out between Iran and Israel, two pro-Iranian groups have remained on the sidelines of the conflict: Hamas and the Houthis. Hamas is currently very weakened militarily after its defeat in the Gaza war. In addition, the group has publicly expressed support for the peace process proposed by Trump, so entering the war now could endanger that process and even compromise what remains of its own organization. On the other hand, the organizational capa
Mar 72 min read


How can the war with Iran affect oil and gas markets?
The Strait of Hormuz, located between Iran and the United Arab Emirates, is one of the most critical arteries of global trade. Around 30 percent of the world’s oil supply and about 20 percent of seaborne liquefied natural gas pass through it. At its narrowest point, the strait is just 33 kilometers wide, with shipping lanes only about 3 kilometers wide in each direction. Because of its location, it serves as a crucial chokepoint for oil deliveries from OPEC countries to custo
Mar 33 min read


How the US warned Zelensky and European countries about the invasion but few listened
US knowledge of Russia’s plans came primarily from two sources: satellite imagery and information from sources close to the Kremlin. The satellite images came from open-source providers such as Maxar Technologies. This allowed media outlets to report in November 2021 that tens of thousands of Russian soldiers had gathered near the Ukrainian border. Intelligence work targeting Russia was conducted by the US National Security Agency (NSA) and the UK’s Government Communications
Feb 254 min read


Fourth anniversary of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine: numbers from the warfront
Since the war began, 15,172 Ukrainian civilians have been killed, including 739 children, according to the UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR). According to Western intelligence and the Center for Strategic and International Studies, which many experts consider reliable sources on this matter, Russian military casualties amount to 1.2 million soldiers, of whom around 400,000 have been killed. Ukraine has seen around 600,000 military casualties, includi
Feb 252 min read


Cuba’s near collapse amid Trump’s oil blockade
The US has long targeted Cuba through various economic weapons dating from the early 1960s. One of the most important was the Helms-Burton Act that not only prohibited U.S. companies from doing business with Cuba (except with products considered "humanitarian"), but also punished companies from other countries that did business with Cuba if they wanted to do business with the US. In his second term, US President Barack Obama eased travel restrictions for Americans visiting Cu
Feb 186 min read


The rivalry between the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia: what is going on?
Since the UAE gained independence in 1971, Saudi Arabia has often acted like the paternal "big brother" of the Gulf, even initially refusing to recognize the UAE because of old border disputes. Saudi Arabia is currently producing around 11 million barrels per day, the second-largest in the world behind the U.S. and needs oil to stay at roughly $90 a barrel to fund the high-tech cities and "giga-projects" of Vision 2030. Meanwhile, the UAE has spent billions expanding its own
Jan 286 min read


Three things to understand the capture of Maduro
These are three key things to understand regarding Trump's decision to capture Maduro: 1) Just as with Noriega in Panama in 1989, being an active leader in drug trafficking and the extreme power that it confers is a red line for the United States, even more so when dealing with a country that has been under an anti-American dictatorial regime for 25 years in "its own backyard." 2) The United States does not have an urgent need for Venezuelan oil, as it produces a vast amount
Jan 41 min read


How did Trump’s tariffs affect the US economy, and how are the numbers of crime and illegal immigration?
According to several polls, the economy, crime and illegal immigration are three of the most important topics for US voters. ECONOMY POSITIVE RESULTS By late December 2025, the economic narrative regarding Trump tariffs has shifted from one of "inevitable crisis" predicted by mainstream economists and Trump critics to a more nuanced reality. In the third quarter of 2025, GDP increased at an annual rate of 4.3%, compared to 2.8% in 2024. Moreover, the US500 Stock Market Index
Dec 27, 20253 min read


Chile’s presidential election is this Sunday: immigration, crime and the economy
This Sunday, nearly 16 million Chileans will head to the polls for the first round of a sharply polarized presidential race shaped by mounting fears over crime and immigration. The vote follows several turbulent years in typically calm Chile, the world’s top copper producer and one of Latin America’s wealthiest nations. Between October 2019 and March 2020, Chile was rocked by violent protests that resulted in more than 8,800 arrests, nearly 3,400 hospitalizations, and over 30
Nov 14, 20253 min read
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